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Chapter 9. Confidence and optimism.

Chapter 9. Confidence and optimism. Monday, 30 November 2009. Other fans were asked to place a different, but logically-equivalent bet; they were asked to predict the winning team and to estimate the margin of victory. They received payments that depended on their accuracy. A third group of fans betted using a combination of the other two conditions. They first made a prediction against the points spreads, and then predicted who would win and by what margin. In their main analyses, Simmons et al. Simmons.
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Judgment and Decision Making

Powerpoint slides for the book. Send your request, with your university email address, to d. Monday, 9 March .

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Chapter 9. Confidence and optimism.

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Chapter 9. Confidence and optimism. Monday, 30 November 2009. Other fans were asked to place a different, but logically-equivalent bet; they were asked to predict the winning team and to estimate the margin of victory. They received payments that depended on their accuracy. A third group of fans betted using a combination of the other two conditions. They first made a prediction against the points spreads, and then predicted who would win and by what margin. In their main analyses, Simmons et al. Simmons.

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This web page judgmentanddecisionmaking9.blogspot.com states the following, "Monday, 30 November 2009." We saw that the webpage said " Other fans were asked to place a different, but logically-equivalent bet; they were asked to predict the winning team and to estimate the margin of victory." It also said " They received payments that depended on their accuracy. A third group of fans betted using a combination of the other two conditions. They first made a prediction against the points spreads, and then predicted who would win and by what margin. In their main analyses, Simmons et al."

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